Newsletter

Chip Alliance The basic contours of modern trade deals are becoming familiar. One country threatens another with tariffs, and in exchange for avoiding those tariffs, the second country agrees to buy more goods or, increasingly, to invest vast sums of money in the first country. That pattern was on full

Google vs. Everybody Alphabet's latest earnings call was, on its face, a victory lap. The company posted strong double-digit growth in its core Search business, its Cloud division is accelerating, and CEO Sundar Pichai touted "breakthroughs in performance" from its new Gemini AI model. But the

Who Can Afford to Think? For a while now, a nagging question has lurked behind the AI infrastructure boom. The logic for spending hundreds of billions on Nvidia GPUs for training new models was clear. But what happened after that? The general assumption was that inference—the actual use of

The Empty Shelf One way to think about the US-China chip war is that it is a contest of government decrees. The US Department of Commerce says “you can’t sell that chip,” and so Nvidia can’t sell that chip. Then, after some high-level meetings and a change of

The Roblox Roll-Up We were talking the other day about the bizarrely active market for mergers and acquisitions on Roblox, which raises the obvious question: Why? Why would a professional studio pay a teenager millions of dollars for a game that might be forgotten in six months? The answer is

SpaceX's Side Hustle Here is a fun corporate governance story. Elon Musk’s rocket company, SpaceX, is investing $2 billion in his artificial intelligence company, xAI. This is part of a larger funding round for xAI, which is a private company. SpaceX is also a private company, but

Virtual Private Equity Here is a fun story about the creator economy. A 19-year-old who made a soccer video game on Roblox with an anime vibe sold it a few months later for more than $3 million. Not to a big game studio like EA or Ubisoft, but to another

Key Person Risk Elon Musk is launching a new political party called the "America Party." This is awkward, as it comes just days after a public feud with President Donald Trump, who threatened to cut off the government subsidies Musk's companies have built an empire on.

Fab Diplomacy The conventional wisdom on President Donald Trump’s trade policy is that it’s mostly just chaos and bluster, a series of threats made on social media that are often walked back a day later. This week, however, the bluster got very real for a factory in Japan.